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***IN HOUSE*** – remove for spring break School: Stony Brook University |
Updated: 322 AM 12 MAR 2017
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 25% |
| Normal Time | Early | 5% |
| Late | Normal Time | 10% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 60% |
Discussion:
A major coastal low is forecast to impact the region Tuesday, with a potential for blizzard conditions. Based on the most likely track of the low, precipitation should fall as all snow for Central Long Island. However, a track slightly to the west would result in a changeover to rain as the low pressure moves in.
At this time I am willing to state about 60% confidence in this being a large enough event to cancel school for a full day. Should the western track of the low become the likely scenario, there would be a possibility of a delayed opening if snow ends by late morning. Early closings are not favored with the timing so a blend of a late onset and west track scenario was used.
Snowday Central 