Updated: 433 PM 08 FEB 2017

– FULL CLOSING

Discussion:

Three Village Schools are closed Thursday. Refer to the district website for additional information.

Updated: 218 PM 08 FEB 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

With ever growing confidence in impacts all day tomorrow and consulting with Three Village administration, increasing the probability of a full closing to 95%.

Updated: 411 AM 08 FEB 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

High confidence is now present for a warning-level snowfall, increasing the chance of a snow day Thursday. Removing the delayed opening probability because the heaviest snow will fall during and after the morning commute.

Updated: 339 PM 07 FEB 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

Models are coming into better agreement of a heavy snowfall impact for Thursday, with enough accumulation to cancel school. Given this trend, I am adjusting the probabilities to slightly favor this scenario. A delayed opening is now unlikely given that the timing has shifted to have the heaviest impacts after the morning commute. Early closings would be likely, if school were to open, with my only reservation here being that the heaviest snow may be falling during the normal early dismissal time.

Stay tuned for further updates as changes are highly likely.

Updated: 301 AM 07 FEB 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

Predictions for Thursday are on the difficult side. As usual, there is uncertainty with regard to how much snow will accumulate. To complicate matters, however, is that it is not yet clear whether the heaviest impacts will occur before, during, or after the morning commute. Both of these factors will have obvious ramifications for how school may be impacted.

For now, I will go with a 25% chance of a warning-level event and school being closed. A delayed opening is more likely, but this would only happen if the heaviest snow occurs in the morning hours as current trends are pointing. If the timing shifts to a scenario where the heaviest snow will occur in the early afternoon, early closings may be on the table instead.

Updated: 324 PM 30 JAN 2017

Discussion:

A light snow event is expected tomorrow afternoon. Accumulations should be around 1 inch and likely not impact school, but there is a slight chance of up to 3 inches and early closing probabilities follow accordingly.

Updated: 323 PM 30 JAN 2017

Discussion:

A light snow event is expected tomorrow afternoon. Accumulations should be around 1 inch and likely not impact school, but there is a slight chance of up to 3 inches and early closing probabilities follow accordingly.

Updated: 321 PM 30 JAN 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

A light snow event is expected tomorrow afternoon. Accumulations should be around 1 inch and likely not impact school, but there is a slight chance of up to 3 inches and early closing probabilities follow accordingly.

Updated: 551 PM 22 JAN 2017

Discussion:

Need to increase probabilities because of a low potential for hurricane force gusts tomorrow. Driving conditions are appearing more dangerous.

Updated: 607 AM 22 JAN 2017

Discussion:

It is unusual for a nor’easter producing only rain to cause school closings or delays on Long Island. However, with a low potential for gusts up to 70 mph, school impacts are on the radar. Since the strongest winds will occur toward the early evening Monday, a delayed opening would not make sense. Probabilities of a full or early closing remains on the low side.

Updated: 551 PM 22 JAN 2017

Discussion:

Need to increase probabilities because of a low potential for hurricane force gusts tomorrow. Driving conditions are appearing more dangerous.

Updated: 606 AM 22 JAN 2017

Discussion:

It is unusual for a nor’easter producing only rain to cause school closings or delays on Long Island. However, with a low potential for gusts up to 70 mph, school impacts are on the radar. Since the strongest winds will occur toward the early evening Monday, a delayed opening would not make sense. Probabilities of a full or early closing remains on the low side.

Updated: 255 PM 23 JAN 2017

All activities are being finished by 6 pm today. This meets our definition of a “closing after school” event.

Updated: 550 PM 22 JAN 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

Need to increase probabilities because of a low potential for hurricane force gusts tomorrow. Driving conditions are appearing more dangerous.

Updated: 603 AM 22 JAN 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

It is unusual for a nor’easter producing only rain to cause school closings or delays on Long Island. However, with a low potential for gusts up to 70 mph, school impacts are on the radar. Since the strongest winds will occur toward the early evening Monday, a delayed opening would not make sense. Probabilities of a full or early closing remains on the low side.

Updated: 147 AM 17 JAN 2017

Discussion:

The chances for icing has decreased as suggested by high resolution models. Therefore lowering the probability of a delay.

Updated: 809 PM 15 JAN 2017

Discussion:

There is a small window of opportunity for freezing rain Tuesday morning. While no significant ice accretions are expected as of now, the situation is worth watching.

Updated: 147 AM 17 JAN 2017

Discussion:

The chances for icing has decreased as suggested by high resolution models. Therefore lowering the probability of a delay.

Updated: 807 PM 15 JAN 2017

Discussion:

There is a small window of opportunity for freezing rain Tuesday morning. While no significant ice accretions are expected as of now, the situation is worth watching.

Updated: 149 AM 17 JAN 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

The chances for icing has decreased as suggested by high resolution models. Therefore lowering the probability of a delay.

Updated: 805 PM 15 JAN 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

There is a small window of opportunity for freezing rain Tuesday morning. While no significant ice accretions are expected as of now, the situation is worth watching.