Updated: 529 AM 29 OCT 2017

In the event that school does open…

Discussion:

There is a slight chance of school delays or closings Monday due to expected damaging winds Sunday night.

Updated: 426 PM 19 SEP 2017

In the event that school does open…

Discussion:

Tropical storm conditions are expected to remain east of our area of responsibility. Lowering probabilities of impacts.

Updated: 935 PM 18 SEP 2017

In the event that school does open…

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt briefly late Tuesday into Wednesday. However, confidence is increasing that impacts will be minimal.

Updated: 738 PM 17 SEP 2017

In the event that school does open…

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt late Tuesday into Wednesday. The strongest winds, similar to that of a nor’easter, will likely be felt early Wednesday morning and end by the afternoon. Most likely, this will keep school open given that the impacts are unlikely to be severe.

Updated: 429 PM 19 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Tropical storm conditions are expected to remain east of our area of responsibility. Lowering probabilities of impacts.

Updated: 939 PM 18 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt briefly late Tuesday into Wednesday. However, confidence is increasing that impacts will be minimal.

Updated: 733 PM 17 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt late Tuesday into Wednesday. The strongest winds, similar to that of a nor’easter, will likely be felt early Wednesday morning and end by the afternoon. Most likely, this will keep school open given that the impacts are unlikely to be severe.

Updated: 428 PM 19 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Tropical storm conditions are expected to remain east of our area of responsibility. Lowering probabilities of impacts.

Updated: 938 PM 18 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt briefly late Tuesday into Wednesday. However, confidence is increasing that impacts will be minimal.

Updated: 732 PM 17 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt late Tuesday into Wednesday. The strongest winds, similar to that of a nor’easter, will likely be felt early Wednesday morning and end by the afternoon. Most likely, this will keep school open given that the impacts are unlikely to be severe.

Updated: 431 PM 19 SEP 2017

– Probabilities Removed

Discussion:

Tropical storm conditions will be no factor tonight.

Updated: 932 PM 18 SEP 2017

Discussion:

With greater confidence that tropical storm conditions will not be a possible factor until early Wednesday, lowering probabilities.

Updated: 727 PM 17 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt late Tuesday into Wednesday. Probabilities shown here mainly account for some possibility that the onset of strong winds will occur sooner than current models are indicating. Otherwise, with conditions being no worse than typical nor’easters, it is less than likely that schools not near the coast will be affected.

Updated: 430 PM 19 SEP 2017

– Probabilities Removed

Discussion:

Tropical storm conditions will be no factor tonight.

Updated: 930 PM 18 SEP 2017

Discussion:

With greater confidence that tropical storm conditions will not be a possible factor until early Wednesday, lowering probabilities.

Updated: 725 PM 17 SEP 2017

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt late Tuesday into Wednesday. Probabilities shown here mainly account for some possibility that the onset of strong winds will occur sooner than current models are indicating. Otherwise, with conditions being no worse than typical nor’easters, it is less than likely that schools not near the coast will be affected.

Updated: 929 PM 18 SEP 2017

In the event that school does open…

Discussion:

With greater confidence that tropical storm conditions will not be a possible factor until early Wednesday, lowering probabilities.

Updated: 720 PM 17 SEP 2017

In the event that school does open…

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt late Tuesday into Wednesday. Probabilities shown here mainly account for some possibility that the onset of strong winds will occur sooner than current models are indicating. Otherwise, with conditions being no worse than typical nor’easters, it is less than likely that schools not near the coast will be affected.

Updated: 125 AM 15 MAR 2017

– DELAYED OPENING

Discussion:

Three Village announced a delayed opening for Wednesday, March 15. Refer to the district website for additional information.

Updated: 257 PM 14 MAR 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

While this event was a major bust, a delayed opening for tomorrow is still not out of the question as temperatures will refreeze surfaces overnight and some additional winter precipitation is possible.

Please be aware that we have limited skill with predicting impacts for cleanup conditions because it involves primarily human behavior rather than predictable weather conditions.

Updated: 1221 AM 14 MAR 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

Looking like some rain will mix in, lowering snowfall amounts. Thinking the most likely outcome for Wednesday at this time is a delayed opening, but this could change as the storm unfolds.

Please be aware that we have limited skill with predicting impacts for cleanup conditions because it involves primarily human behavior rather than predictable weather conditions.

Updated: 347 AM 13 MAR 2017

In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…

Discussion:

Impacts for Wednesday will depend on both when snow ends and the total amounts. Given a likelihood of blizzard conditions into the evening hours, there is a good chance for either a delay or closing.

Please be aware that we have limited skill with predicting impacts for cleanup conditions because it involves primarily human behavior rather than predictable weather conditions.

Updated: 324 AM 12 MAR 2017

Discussion:

A major coastal low is forecast to impact the region Tuesday, with a potential for blizzard conditions. Based on the most likely track of the low, precipitation should fall as all snow for Central Long Island. However, a track slightly to the west would result in a changeover to rain as the low pressure moves in.

At this time I am willing to state about 60% confidence in this being a large enough event to cancel school for a full day. Should the western track of the low become the likely scenario, there would be a possibility of a delayed opening if snow ends by late morning. Early closings are not favored with the timing so a blend of a late onset and west track scenario was used.

Updated: 322 AM 12 MAR 2017

Discussion:

A major coastal low is forecast to impact the region Tuesday, with a potential for blizzard conditions. Based on the most likely track of the low, precipitation should fall as all snow for Central Long Island. However, a track slightly to the west would result in a changeover to rain as the low pressure moves in.

At this time I am willing to state about 60% confidence in this being a large enough event to cancel school for a full day. Should the western track of the low become the likely scenario, there would be a possibility of a delayed opening if snow ends by late morning. Early closings are not favored with the timing so a blend of a late onset and west track scenario was used.