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School: Stony Brook University |
Updated: 417 AM 04 MAR 2019
– DELAYED OPENING
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 0% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 70% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 30% |
Discussion:
A delayed opening until 11:00 am has been announced as of 8:00 pm Sunday.
Based on the latest surface observations and the cancellation of the winter storm warning, there is only a 30% chance of an upgrade to a full closing.
Updated: 256 PM 03 MAR 2019
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 5% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 50% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 45% |
Discussion:
Based on latest trends, increasing the probability of impacts to 95%. Slightly leaning toward a delayed opening based on snow tapering off around 6 am.
Updated: 632 PM 02 MAR 2019
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 20% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 50% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 30% |
Discussion:
A low pressure center will pass offshore on Sunday night into Monday morning, which looks to be a mostly snow event for Central Long Island. Snow will taper off at about 5 am, leaving little time to improve road conditions before the morning commute. Based on the latest model guidance distribution of snowfall totals, I have increased the probability of impacts to 80%. While the center of the model guidance envelope suggests about 5 inches of snow, which is borderline for what would typically close school, it will taper off early in the day. Hence, I am favoring a late opening over a full closing.
Updated: 1149 PM 01 MAR 2019
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 40% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 35% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 25% |
Discussion:
A low pressure center will pass offshore on Sunday night into Monday morning, bringing wintery precipitation. The main question at this time is how much rain will mix in, limiting accumulations. Nonetheless, my thinking at this time is that this event will at least produce a delayed opening, as the probability of at least 2-3 inches of snow is high.
Snowday Central 