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School: Stony Brook University |
Updated: 356 PM 22 MAR 2018
DELAYED OPENING
Discussion:
A delayed opening until 10 am was in effect today, March 21, for Stony Brook University.
Updated: 1159 PM 21 MAR 2018
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 5% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 45% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 50% |
Discussion:
At 1136 pm, 9.1 inches of snow was measured in Stony Brook, and snowfall rates of 4-5 inches per hour have been observed across many parts of the island. This is a truly remarkable snowband. Another 4-6 inches will likely fall before tapering off toward daybreak. I am increasing the probability of impacts to 95%, as high as I can legally go, and splitting it almost evenly between a delayed opening and full closing scenario.
Updated: 620 PM 21 MAR 2018
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 25% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 45% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 30% |
Discussion:
Proximal school closings warrant increase of impact probabilities. Leaning toward a delayed opening as the most likely scenario, but uncertainty is higher than usual.
Updated: 349 PM 20 MAR 2018
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 40% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 50% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 10% |
Discussion:
Delays will be possible Thursday. This mainly depends on the time that snow ends, how much snow is on the ground, and how fast it melts. All factors considered, there is a moderate chance of impacts at this time.