School: Stony Brook University
Impact Date: THU 22 MAR 2018
Hazard Type: WINTER
Return to Home Page

Updated: 356 PM 22 MAR 2018

DELAYED OPENING

Discussion:

A delayed opening until 10 am was in effect today, March 21, for Stony Brook University.


Updated: 1159 PM 21 MAR 2018

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 5%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 45%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 50%

Discussion:

At 1136 pm, 9.1 inches of snow was measured in Stony Brook, and snowfall rates of 4-5 inches per hour have been observed across many parts of the island. This is a truly remarkable snowband. Another 4-6 inches will likely fall before tapering off toward daybreak. I am increasing the probability of impacts to 95%, as high as I can legally go, and splitting it almost evenly between a delayed opening and full closing scenario.


Updated: 620 PM 21 MAR 2018

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 25%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 45%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 30%

Discussion:

Proximal school closings warrant increase of impact probabilities. Leaning toward a delayed opening as the most likely scenario, but uncertainty is higher than usual.


Updated: 349 PM 20 MAR 2018

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 40%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 50%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 10%

Discussion:

Delays will be possible Thursday. This mainly depends on the time that snow ends, how much snow is on the ground, and how fast it melts. All factors considered, there is a moderate chance of impacts at this time.


 

This entry was posted on March 20, 2018. Bookmark the permalink.