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School: Stony Brook University |
Updated: 946 PM 07 MAR 2018
DELAYED OPENING
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 0% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 65% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 35% |
Discussion:
As of 9 pm, a delayed opening until 11:30 am is announced. There is a 35% chance of an upgrade to a full closing based on current conditions.
Updated: 842 PM 07 MAR 2018
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 35% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 50% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 15% |
Discussion:
Radar and high resolution models confirm that moderate snow will not end until later tonight, and there are hints of mesoscale banding continuing. I have thus added a 15% chance of a full closing. The delay probability is unchanged.
Updated: 540 PM 07 MAR 2018
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 50% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 50% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 0% |
Discussion:
Increasing probability of a delay due to snow not ending until late tonight. Going with a 50% chance based on this being a threshold situation. Confidence in this forecast is lower than normal because this is a prediction of both weather and human behavior.
Updated: 319 AM 06 MAR 2018
| Campus Opening | Campus Closing | Probability |
| Normal Time | Normal Time | 80% |
| Normal Time | Early | 0% |
| Late | Normal Time | 20% |
| Late | Early | 0% |
| Closed All Day | – | 0% |
Discussion:
There is a slight chance of a delay Thursday due to the possibility of significant snow continuing from Wednesday evening into the overnight hours, impacting the morning commute.
Snowday Central 