| School: Three Village Central School District Impact Date: FRI 05 JAN 2018 Hazard Type: WINTER Return to Home Page |
Updated: 642 PM 04 JAN 2018
FULL CLOSING
Discussion:
TVCSD is closed Friday, January 5. Refer to the district website for more information.
Updated: 357 PM 04 JAN 2018
| Probability of a Full Closing | 95% |
| Probability of a Delayed Opening | 0% |
| Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening | 95% |
| Probability of school opening at Normal Time | 5% |
In the event that school does open…
| Probability of an Early Closing | 0% |
| Probability of a Closing After School | 0% |
| Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School | 0% |
| Probability of school remaining open All Day | 100% |
Discussion:
Based on communications with TVCSD admin, increased probability of a full closing to 95%.
Updated: 226 PM 04 JAN 2018
| Probability of a Full Closing | 30% |
| Probability of a Delayed Opening | 40% |
| Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening | 70% |
| Probability of school opening at Normal Time | 30% |
In the event that school does open…
| Probability of an Early Closing | 0% |
| Probability of a Closing After School | 0% |
| Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School | 0% |
| Probability of school remaining open All Day | 100% |
Discussion:
This is a rather difficult forecast. Snow will wrap up this evening, allowing for some time for snow removal. However, temperatures will drop overnight and roads will become icy. Given the overall picture and analogues to this situation, I am increasing the combined probability of either a closing or delay to 70%, favoring a delay. There is a chance of a normal opening if snow tapers early and roads are treated quickly.
Updated: 724 PM 03 JAN 2018
| Probability of a Full Closing | 5% |
| Probability of a Delayed Opening | 40% |
| Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening | 45% |
| Probability of school opening at Normal Time | 55% |
In the event that school does open…
| Probability of an Early Closing | 0% |
| Probability of a Closing After School | 0% |
| Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School | 0% |
| Probability of school remaining open All Day | 100% |
Discussion:
There is a moderate chance for a delay Friday due to icy roads. Snow should end early enough Thursday for snow removal to be mostly complete by the Friday morning commute.
Snowday Central 