School: Three Village Central School District
Impact Date: THU 04 JAN 2018
Hazard Type: WINTER
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Updated: 713 PM 03 JAN 2018

FULL CLOSING

Discussion:

TVCSD is closed Thursday, January 4.


 

Updated: 554 PM 03 JAN 2018

Probability of a Full Closing 95%
Probability of a Delayed Opening 0%
Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening 95%
Probability of school opening at Normal Time 5%

In the event that school does open…

Probability of an Early Closing 10%
Probability of a Closing After School 15%
Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School 25%
Probability of school remaining open All Day 75%

Discussion:

Increasing probability of closing to 95% based on information from administration.


 

Updated: 1151 AM 03 JAN 2018

Probability of a Full Closing 80%
Probability of a Delayed Opening 5%
Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening 85%
Probability of school opening at Normal Time 15%

In the event that school does open…

Probability of an Early Closing 10%
Probability of a Closing After School 15%
Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School 25%
Probability of school remaining open All Day 75%

Discussion:

A coastal storm will impact the region Thursday. Models are converging on 6-12 inches of snow for the region with possible blizzard conditions. Based on trends, we are increasing probability of a full closing to 80%.



Updated: 312 PM 02 JAN 2018

Probability of a Full Closing 60%
Probability of a Delayed Opening 5%
Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening 65%
Probability of school opening at Normal Time 35%

In the event that school does open…

Probability of an Early Closing 10%
Probability of a Closing After School 15%
Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School 25%
Probability of school remaining open All Day 75%

Discussion:

A coastal storm will impact the region Thursday. The main question is whether or not the storm will track close enough for a high impact event, answers to which should unfold throughout today and tomorrow. Based on timing, this looks to be mainly a full closing or nothing scenario.


 

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