School: Three Village Central School District
Impact Date: WED 20 SEP 2017
Hazard Type: TROPICAL
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Updated: 426 PM 19 SEP 2017

Probability of a Full Closing 0%
Probability of a Delayed Opening 5%
Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening 5%
Probability of school opening at Normal Time 95%

In the event that school does open…

Probability of an Early Closing 0%
Probability of a Closing After School 0%
Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School 0%
Probability of school remaining open All Day 100%

Discussion:

Tropical storm conditions are expected to remain east of our area of responsibility. Lowering probabilities of impacts.


Updated: 935 PM 18 SEP 2017

Probability of a Full Closing 5%
Probability of a Delayed Opening 15%
Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening 20%
Probability of school opening at Normal Time 80%

In the event that school does open…

Probability of an Early Closing 0%
Probability of a Closing After School 15%
Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School 15%
Probability of school remaining open All Day 85%

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt briefly late Tuesday into Wednesday. However, confidence is increasing that impacts will be minimal.


Updated: 738 PM 17 SEP 2017

Probability of a Full Closing 15%
Probability of a Delayed Opening 25%
Probability of a Full Closing OR Delayed Opening 40%
Probability of school opening at Normal Time 60%

In the event that school does open…

Probability of an Early Closing 5%
Probability of a Closing After School 25%
Probability of an Early Closing OR Closing After School 30%
Probability of school remaining open All Day 70%

Discussion:

Hurricane Jose will pass east of Long Island, with the chance for tropical storm conditions being felt late Tuesday into Wednesday. The strongest winds, similar to that of a nor’easter, will likely be felt early Wednesday morning and end by the afternoon. Most likely, this will keep school open given that the impacts are unlikely to be severe.


 

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