School: Stony Brook University
Impact Date: FRI 10 MAR 2017
Hazard Type: WINTER
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Updated: 501 PM 09 MAR 2017

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 25%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 45%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 30%

Discussion:

Adjustments being made to account for westward shift of heavier snowfall rates.


Updated: 237 PM 09 MAR 2017

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 40%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 50%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 10%

Discussion:

Confidence is increasing for disruptive impacts to the morning commute. Increasing the probability of a delay to 50%.


Updated: 545 AM 09 MAR 2017

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 60%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 30%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 10%

Discussion:

Models tonight have robustly increased the amount of snow for Friday, with 4-6 inches appearing likely, so increasing probability of a delay. Added a 10% chance of a full closing to take into account the small probability of a warning level event.


Updated: 327 PM 08 MAR 2017

Campus Opening Campus Closing Probability
Normal Time Normal Time 90%
Normal Time Early 0%
Late Normal Time 10%
Late Early 0%
Closed All Day 0%

Discussion:

Light snow is expected Friday resulting in accumulations of 1-3 inches. Given the low amounts and expected timing, there is a low probability of a delayed opening.

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