| School: Three Village Central School District Impact Date: FRI 10 FEB 2017 Hazard Type: WINTER Return to Home Page |
Updated: 517 PM 09 FEB 2017
FULL CLOSING
Discussion:
TVCSD made an early call to close Friday.
Updated: 1150 PM 08 FEB 2017
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING | 10% |
| Probability of a DELAYED OPENING | 35% |
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING OR DELAYED OPENING | 45% |
| Probability of school opening at NORMAL TIME | 55% |
In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING | 0% |
| Probability of a CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 0% |
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING OR CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 0% |
| Probability of school remaining open ALL DAY | 100% |
Discussion:
To make a very small change, it is necessary to account for the now approximately 10% chance of seeing snowfall totals Thursday exceed 16 inches. Such a scenario would likely cause a full closing Friday due to the amount of time that would be required to remove that amount of snow. Otherwise, probabilities are unchanged and favor a full day Friday.
Updated: 244 PM 08 FEB 2017
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING | 0% |
| Probability of a DELAYED OPENING | 35% |
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING OR DELAYED OPENING | 35% |
| Probability of school opening at NORMAL TIME | 65% |
In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING | 0% |
| Probability of a CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 0% |
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING OR CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 0% |
| Probability of school remaining open ALL DAY | 100% |
Discussion:
With higher confidence of heavy impacts Thursday lasting into early evening hours, I am bumping up the probability of a delay Friday due to remnant icy conditions.
Updated: 338 AM 08 FEB 2017
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING | 0% |
| Probability of a DELAYED OPENING | 20% |
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING OR DELAYED OPENING | 20% |
| Probability of school opening at NORMAL TIME | 80% |
In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING | 0% |
| Probability of a CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 0% |
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING OR CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 0% |
| Probability of school remaining open ALL DAY | 100% |
Discussion:
There is a slight chance of a delayed opening Friday given that snow will taper off late Thursday and temperatures will drop into the teens overnight, creating icy conditions.
Snowday Central 