| School: Three Village Central School District Impact Date: MON 23 JAN 2017 Hazard Type: WIND (NON-CONVECTIVE) Return to Home Page |
Updated: 255 PM 23 JAN 2017
– CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL
Discussion:
All activities are being finished by 6 pm today. This meets our definition of a “closing after school” event.
Updated: 550 PM 22 JAN 2017
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING | 40% |
| Probability of a DELAYED OPENING | 0% |
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING OR DELAYED OPENING | 40% |
| Probability of school opening at NORMAL TIME | 60% |
In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING | 50% |
| Probability of a CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 30% |
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING OR CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 80% |
| Probability of school remaining open ALL DAY | 20% |
Discussion:
Need to increase probabilities because of a low potential for hurricane force gusts tomorrow. Driving conditions are appearing more dangerous.
Updated: 603 AM 22 JAN 2017
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING | 15% |
| Probability of a DELAYED OPENING | 0% |
| Probability of a FULL CLOSING OR DELAYED OPENING | 15% |
| Probability of school opening at NORMAL TIME | 85% |
In the event that SCHOOL DOES OPEN…
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING | 35% |
| Probability of a CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 20% |
| Probability of an EARLY CLOSING OR CLOSING AFTER SCHOOL | 55% |
| Probability of school remaining open ALL DAY | 45% |
Discussion:
It is unusual for a nor’easter producing only rain to cause school closings or delays on Long Island. However, with a low potential for gusts up to 70 mph, school impacts are on the radar. Since the strongest winds will occur toward the early evening Monday, a delayed opening would not make sense. Probabilities of a full or early closing remains on the low side.